Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Dag and Red
27.7%
Draw
27.8%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Dag and Red
vs
1.14
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).