Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.6%
Shildon AFC
19.0%
Draw
22.5%
Ashington AFC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Shildon AFC
vs
1.40
Ashington AFC
Markets
BTTS67.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
5.0%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.6%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).