Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Bournemouth
19.0%
Draw
8.0%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Bournemouth
vs
0.57
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
1-0
13.8%
3-0
10.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
5-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).