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31 Jan 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Levante
24.4%
Draw
56.9%
Ath Madrid

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Levante

vs
1.70

Ath Madrid

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.9%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).