Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Lecce
27.4%
Draw
17.2%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Lecce
vs
0.78
Chievo
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.8%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).