Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Denizlispor
19.0%
Draw
75.3%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Denizlispor
vs
2.39
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.3%
0-3
11.4%
0-1
10.2%
1-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-4
6.8%
1-4
4.1%
0-5
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
2-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).