Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.7%
Fylde
13.0%
Draw
81.3%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Fylde
vs
2.85
Notts County
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-4
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
6.2%
1-4
5.5%
0-5
4.6%
0-0
3.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).