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19 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.8%
Rochdale
26.9%
Draw
37.3%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Rochdale

vs
1.12

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).