Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Holstein Kiel
20.5%
Draw
20.0%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.30
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS66.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.9%
Over 3.548.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
3.2%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).