Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Catanzaro
20.9%
Draw
11.3%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11
Catanzaro
vs
0.76
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).