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AHT: 11CSV

04 Mar 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.3%
Alcorcon
27.4%
Draw
45.3%
Cordoba

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Alcorcon

vs
1.34

Cordoba

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.7%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).