Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Oxford
33.9%
Draw
35.2%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Oxford
vs
0.98
Stoke
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.1%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).