Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Everton
28.9%
Draw
19.5%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Everton
vs
0.87
West Ham
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).