Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Salford
23.2%
Draw
25.1%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Salford
vs
1.09
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.1%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).