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11 Dec 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.2%
Dunkerque
24.9%
Draw
40.9%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Dunkerque

vs
1.32

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).