Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Alanyaspor
33.4%
Draw
21.2%
Giresunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Alanyaspor
vs
0.92
Giresunspor
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.8%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).