Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Nurnberg
22.6%
Draw
16.2%
Wurzburger Kickers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Nurnberg
vs
0.97
Wurzburger Kickers
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).