Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Bristol Rvs
26.7%
Draw
43.8%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.23
Exeter
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).