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DHT: 01CSV

04 Feb 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.7%
Eupen
25.2%
Draw
58.1%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.79

Eupen

vs
1.69

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS45.2%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).