Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Troyes
27.0%
Draw
32.4%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Troyes
vs
1.01
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).