Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Frosinone
29.0%
Draw
22.7%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Frosinone
vs
0.93
Modena
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).