Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Auxerre
24.7%
Draw
23.8%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Auxerre
vs
0.88
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).