Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Fuenlabrada
24.7%
Draw
34.3%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.35
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).