Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.2%
Porto
16.7%
Draw
5.1%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Porto
vs
0.31
Farense
Markets
BTTS22.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.3%
2-0
19.9%
3-0
13.2%
0-0
9.8%
4-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
3-1
4.0%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
2.6%
4-1
2.0%
1-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).