Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Man United
20.5%
Draw
27.2%
Skegness Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Man United
vs
1.47
Skegness Town
Markets
BTTS67.4%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
3-2
4.7%
0-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).