Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Maritimo
23.1%
Draw
29.2%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Maritimo
vs
1.25
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.9%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).