Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Everton
33.6%
Draw
24.8%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Everton
vs
0.86
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.0%
0-0
14.9%
1-0
13.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).