Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.0%
Chesterfield
19.9%
Draw
15.1%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Chesterfield
vs
1.06
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.544.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).