Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Preston
28.3%
Draw
23.0%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Preston
vs
0.95
Reading
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).