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17 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.8%
Sint-Truiden
28.2%
Draw
19.0%
La Louvière

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Sint-Truiden

vs
0.74

La Louvière

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
12.0%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).