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13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.6%
Molde
23.6%
Draw
16.9%
Fredrikstad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Molde

vs
0.77

Fredrikstad

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).