Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Schalke 04
22.4%
Draw
15.7%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Schalke 04
vs
0.95
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).