Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Sunderland
32.6%
Draw
37.5%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Sunderland
vs
1.18
Brentford
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
12.7%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).