Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Cremonese
23.8%
Draw
17.3%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Cremonese
vs
0.96
Spal
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).