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27 Dec 2020 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Reggiana
30.2%
Draw
41.7%
Reggina

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Reggiana

vs
1.32

Reggina

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).