Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.1%
Auxerre
18.8%
Draw
18.2%
Rodez
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Auxerre
vs
1.02
Rodez
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.8%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
0-0
3.7%
4-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).