Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.5%
Porto
9.7%
Draw
2.7%
Chaves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Porto
vs
0.30
Chaves
Markets
BTTS23.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.3%
3-0
16.3%
1-0
13.9%
4-0
10.9%
5-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
1-1
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
0-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).