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AHT: 11

04 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.9%
Grazer AK
26.4%
Draw
43.6%
AC London

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Grazer AK

vs
1.58

AC London

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).