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27 Apr 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.9%
Reading
20.5%
Draw
23.6%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.91

Reading

vs
1.15

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS57.3%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).