Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.3%
Almeria
17.7%
Draw
69.0%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Almeria
vs
2.47
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.545.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.7%
0-1
7.3%
1-4
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
0-4
4.8%
2-3
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).