Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.8%
Airdrie Utd
11.1%
Draw
5.1%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Airdrie Utd
vs
0.72
Forfar
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.9%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-0
5.3%
1-1
5.2%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).