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AHT: 01CSV

14 Jan 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.6%
Eupen
21.2%
Draw
67.2%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Eupen

vs
1.99

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.4%
0-1
12.9%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
8.9%
0-0
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).