Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Bologna
26.3%
Draw
50.3%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Bologna
vs
1.45
Milan
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.1%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).