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30 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.3%
Spartans
29.9%
Draw
24.8%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.53

Spartans

vs
1.08

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS54.0%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).