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DHT: 00CSV

10 Sept 2022 · 18:00

Bastia

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Nimes
28.1%
Draw
33.6%
Bastia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Nimes

vs
0.98

Bastia

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).