Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Mansfield
20.5%
Draw
22.9%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Mansfield
vs
1.12
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).