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HHT: 20CSV

25 Feb 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.8%
Anderlecht
25.7%
Draw
16.5%
Mouscron

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Anderlecht

vs
0.76

Mouscron

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).