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01 Aug 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.2%
Watford
28.7%
Draw
37.1%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Watford

vs
1.29

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).