Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Toulouse
22.7%
Draw
27.1%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Toulouse
vs
1.18
Lorient
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).