Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Malaga
18.7%
Draw
14.7%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Malaga
vs
0.94
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
0-0
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).